Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.136255 0.159630 0.185365 0.215737 0.250539 0.289104 0.335009
2026-01-04 0.100603 0.132908 0.172369 0.223809 0.288749 0.367631 0.470282
2026-01-11 0.079795 0.115447 0.162519 0.228529 0.317894 0.433742 0.594181
2026-01-18 0.065260 0.101934 0.153602 0.230547 0.340800 0.491376 0.710449
2026-01-25 0.054271 0.090764 0.145214 0.230682 0.359300 0.542965 0.821571
2026-02-01 0.045219 0.080579 0.136209 0.227819 0.371919 0.586060 0.923147
2026-02-08 0.037939 0.071776 0.127715 0.224024 0.381802 0.624934 1.020683
2026-02-15 0.031263 0.062723 0.117306 0.215400 0.382478 0.648959 1.096614
2026-02-22 0.029009 0.061123 0.119116 0.227084 0.416908 0.728231 1.264666
2026-03-01 0.024567 0.054615 0.111290 0.220901 0.420273 0.757102 1.353295
2026-03-08 0.020651 0.048418 0.103092 0.212851 0.419191 0.777922 1.429469
2026-03-15 0.017725 0.043728 0.097059 0.207951 0.422961 0.806850 1.520922
2026-03-22 0.016011 0.041424 0.095558 0.211827 0.443728 0.867935 1.674243
2026-03-29 0.014804 0.040068 0.095844 0.219331 0.472203 0.945274 1.862559
2026-04-05 0.013494 0.038222 0.094804 0.223923 0.495312 1.014376 2.040711
2026-04-12 0.012151 0.036034 0.092681 0.225901 0.513233 1.074897 2.206973
2026-04-19 0.010856 0.033711 0.089897 0.226032 0.527218 1.128670 2.363856
2026-04-26 0.009552 0.031096 0.086030 0.223221 0.534624 1.169940 2.499305
2026-05-03 0.008370 0.028572 0.081999 0.219496 0.539584 1.206497 2.627740
2026-05-10 0.007119 0.025568 0.076290 0.211030 0.533136 1.219154 2.709195
2026-05-17 0.006893 0.025652 0.078636 0.222500 0.572755 1.330023 2.996318
2026-05-24 0.005976 0.023337 0.074197 0.216430 0.571279 1.354019 3.106352
2026-05-31 0.005113 0.020995 0.069301 0.208527 0.564623 1.366222 3.192301